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Macro Prophet — Discovering ice

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Market Wrap

Macro Prophet — Discovering ice

  1. Dan Alderson
11 min read

“It was as if God had decided to put to the test every capacity for surprise and was keeping the inhabitants of Macondo in a permanent alternation between excitement and disappointment, doubt and revelation, to such an extreme that no one knew for certain where the limits of reality lay. ”

Calm and complacency have returned to financial markets, with credit spreads reflecting growing confidence in the ‘soft landing’ narrative and European CLO primary back in action after a protracted absence. But a shift in thinking about US and European Central Bank policy introduces a new set of challenges, not least of which is a less predictable Bank of Japan. Meanwhile, European CLO price discovery brought its own challenges for me, as I’ll get onto in this column…

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